crise : les tractations se poursuivent en Europe
Par Michel Castel le vendredi, 21 octobre 2011, 16:56 - Réactions à des articles de presse - Lien permanent
Les Echos- le 21/10/2011 |
Le rôle et la capacité du FESF, le pare-feu anti-crise européen, opposent non seulement Paris et Berlin, mais les pays 'triple A' aux pays du Sud en difficulté. Plusieurs sommets réunissent les dirigeants européens, ce week-end et mercredi prochain.
mon commentaire :
Il faut faire tomber la fièvre immédiatement et soigner le malade au fond mais en donnant du temps au temps.
Faire tomber immédiatement la fièvre, comment ?
Et si les européennes utilisaient les mêmes techniques que les marchés à savoir prendre des positions sur les CDS des pays de la zone euro. Leurs montants ne sont pas si élevés et se mettre en travers qu marché pour éviter des taux totalement insupportables serait du domaine du possible . Exactement comme il arrive que les banques centrales le fassent sur le marché des changes pour contenir les mouvements aberrants ( ex. accords du Plazza...). Cela vaut sur toutes les dettes publiques, y compris la dette grecque après qu'elle ait été réduite comme c'est sur le point de se faire.
Le risque de contrepartie sur les CDS reviendrait au FESF mais celui-ci peut être maitrisé, même être relativement faible, si les pays respectent les plans de rigueur déjà mis en place et maintiennent une certaine croissance.
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